it is a self fullfilling prophecy.
the more wear on the splines, the more slop in the joint
the more slop in the joint the faster the wear on the splines.
every time you shift or roll on/off throttle causes loose splines to crash against each other. it is not a linear failure curve, the more wear, the faster it goes south.
bricks with new shaft and fd splines are SOOOOO smooth. it is incredible how much of a difference this makes in the ride.