Alright, decided now was a good time to break everything open and take care of this input shaft nonsense hopefully for good. Opened transmission, pulled out input shaft and am now into the part I've been dreading.
So I opted to just buy a used complete input shaft with good splines, but after comparing the new shaft to my current one, the tapered roller bearings have me concerned. The current shaft's bearings aren't quite "tight," but are certainly not as "jiggly" as the new shaft's bearings. They're loose to the point that shaking the shaft makes it sound like a rattle. Is that "jiggle" any sign of bearing wear? There's no pitting or other surface defects, just the jiggle. If that slack will be taken up by a proper shim, I may just save myself the $80 for new bearings (unless someone knows a cheaper option available in the US).